Entropy-based techniques for creation of well-balanced computer based reasoning systems

ABSTRACT

Techniques are provided herein for creating well-balanced computer-based reasoning systems and using those to control systems. The techniques include receiving a request to determine whether to include one or more particular data elements in a computer-based reasoning model and determining two probability density or mass functions (“PDMFs”), one for the data set including the one or more particular data elements, once for the data set excluding it. Surprisal is determined based on those two PDMFs, and inclusion in the computer-based reasoning model is determined based on surprisal. A system is later controlled using the computer-based reasoning model.

FIELD OF THE INVENTION

The present invention relates to computer-based optimization and artificial intelligence techniques and in particular to entropy-based techniques for creation of balanced computer-based reasoning systems.

BACKGROUND

One of the hardest parts of using computer-based reasoning systems is simultaneously obtaining sufficient breadth of training data while reducing model size, as those two goals are often at odds. Data elements, possibly including context data paired with action data (e.g., a set of one or more contexts and/or a set of one or more actions), which may include ‘cases’ or ‘instances’ in the case of case-based reasoning, can be collected for many points in time and for many decisions made and actions taken in many contexts. For example, if a trainer is driving a vehicle to train a self-driving vehicle, context-action pairs may be collected every second or even multiple times a second, and those context-action pairs may represent, for example, driving actions taken (e.g., change lanes, turn, etc.) in particular contexts (e.g., vehicle speed, weight, location, proximity to other objects, etc.). Further, sets of context-action pairs may be collected multiple times per trainer (e.g., a single trainer driving a vehicle multiple times) and there may be many trainers (e.g., different drivers contributing training data). In total, the training data elements may number in the millions, billions, or even higher. This, in turn, increases the size of the computer-based reasoning model. While a larger computer-based reasoning model is useful for coverage, the larger the model is, the more computing resources are used to control a system with the model. So, although good breadth in the model is useful, the increasing size of the computer-based reasoning model can be a detriment. Further, a computer-based reasoning model may have more features (e.g., data elements used in the context of a context-action pair) and may not use proper parameters (e.g., feature weights, etc.). Each of these issues can cause inefficiencies in the model and its use.

The techniques herein address these issues by using entropy-based techniques to balance the need for smaller computer-based reasoning models with the usefulness of broad coverage.

The approaches described in this section are approaches that could be pursued, but not necessarily approaches that have been previously conceived or pursued. Therefore, unless otherwise indicated, it should not be assumed that any of the approaches described in this section qualify as prior art merely by virtue of their inclusion in this section.

SUMMARY

The claims may serve as a summary of the invention.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

In the drawings:

FIG. 1 depicts a process for creation of well-balanced computer-based reasoning systems.

FIG. 2 depicts a block diagram of a system for creation of well-balanced computer-based reasoning systems.

FIG. 3 depicts additional example systems and hardware for creation of well-balanced computer-based reasoning systems.

FIG. 4 depicts an example process for controlling a system.

FIG. 5 depicts additional example processes for creation of well-balanced computer-based reasoning systems.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION

In the following description, for the purposes of explanation, numerous specific details are set forth in order to provide a thorough understanding of the present invention. It will be apparent, however, that the present invention may be practiced without these specific details. In other instances, well-known structures and devices are shown in block diagram form in order to avoid unnecessarily obscuring the present invention.

General Overview

As noted above, one of the hardest parts of using computer-based reasoning systems is simultaneously obtaining sufficient breadth of training data while reducing model size, as those two goals are often at odds. The need for broad coverage pushes the size of sets of data elements higher. Stated another way, a training set needs to have the good coverage in order for it to be useful later in a computer-based reasoning system. As such, trainers need to cover a wide range of contexts in order to ensure that the needed coverage is obtained. Collecting data for this broad coverage causes the size of the sets of data elements to increase.

Having such large amounts of data can be useful for providing choice of actions to take in many contexts, but has downsides. Large sets of data elements take significant memory to store and incur significant processing costs when later finding matching context-action pairs. As such, it is important to do one or both of: 1) reducing the number of data elements during or after collection and 2) directing training so that when a contextual area is already well covered, training can be directed to areas where training data will provide a greater difference in the amount of information contained in the model or set of data elements.

Techniques herein address these issues, including obtaining broad coverage while still controlling the size of the set of data elements for a computer-based reasoning model while still providing broad coverage in the model.

Various embodiments herein look at the amount of new information that each data element provides to the overall set of data elements in order to determine whether to include (or keep) that data element. In some ways, looking at the information contributed may be considered looking at whether the new data is “useful” to the new set of data elements, or whether the new data is “surprising” or informative based on the set of data elements. Various embodiments herein use a measure of information entropy to determine the additional surprisal (or surprise) that a data point provides to a set of data. Information entropy is the expected value of surprisal. Example measures of surprisal are described elsewhere herein.

Information gain can be applied across the spectrum of machine learning applications for computer-based reasoning models including “supervised learning” and “unsupervised learning”. In supervised learning, a computer-based reasoning model may contain a number of training cases with a set of inputs, sometimes called a feature vector or context, and a set of outputs, sometimes called labels, decisions, or actions. The feature vectors are the inputs observed and the labels are the presumably correct decisions for the given inputs as given by the trainer. In many implementations, the feature vectors and labels are each comprised of a set of numbers, but in other implementations, the feature vector and labels may each include enumerations, alphanumeric strings, or other data. In unsupervised learning, a computer-based reasoning model contains no outputs, labels, or actions in the training cases, and it is up to the machine learning system and the model to determine how to label the cases. However, a model, available training data, and other experimental, live, validated, unvalidated, test, or other available data may contain a combination of labeled and unlabeled data, as well as data that contains different feature vectors and different kinds of actions or labels. As long as some function is defined that can relate two particular cases that may include feature vectors or labels, all of the techniques herein may be applied to any set of feature vectors and labels for supervised or unsupervised learning.

The use of information entropy can be used to help reduce the number of data elements in a set after it has been collected, while maintaining most of the overall breadth or usefulness that set of data elements. For example, a set of data elements related to vehicle operation (e.g., from multiple training runs by multiple trainers) can be large and cumbersome. Some embodiments herein calculate the expected surprisal, or information gain, of each of the data elements in the set of data elements and remove those that contribute little to the overall informational value of the set of data (e.g., those with low surprisal). Some embodiments calculate the information gain of each data element in the set of data elements and only keep those with the highest surprisal (e.g., the top N surprisal data elements and/or those with an information gain value over a certain threshold). Some embodiments may calculate the information gain of each data element in the set of data elements and only keep those with the lowest surprisal, identifying and reporting those with the highest surprisal as anomalous results.

As noted above, surprisal can be used to reduce the size of sets of data elements as they are collected, while controlling the total size of the set of data elements. In some embodiments, training data collected during training runs is analyzed in real time or near real time and is only stored to a set of data elements if it adds significantly to the information for that set of data elements. The surprisal of each data element may be determined, and when the surprisal is above a certain (lower limit) threshold (or “within bounds” of that lower limit threshold), it may be added to the set of training data. For example, using the self-driving car example, a data element related to driving straight on a highway at a constant speed might have a low surprisal value due to plentiful relevant training data, and therefore not be added to the set of data elements. Data elements related to driving in traffic in the rain, however, may have high surprisal value due to less relevant training data, and therefore be added to the set of data elements.

In some embodiments, surprisal is used to help direct training. Data elements with high surprisal are flagged and trainers may be directed to train more around those areas. Trainers may also be signaled when surprisal is low, indicating that more training is not needed in that area. As training is occurring, the contribution of new data elements can be calculated in real time or near real time, and if the surprisal value is high (e.g., above a certain lower limit threshold), the trainer may be notified that additional training data in this context may be needed. If the surprisal is low, then the driver may be signaled that the current context is not providing much information, indicating that the trainer should move on to a different context or to demonstrate any unusual actions that may result from similar contexts. For example, using the self-driving car example, if training in a current context (e.g., driving at a constant speed on a highway) does not provide much additional information to the set of data elements (e.g., the new data elements have low surprisal), the driver may be given information that the current context is not providing much information and a different context (e.g., side street driving is needed). If the data elements in the current context are providing much additional information (e.g., have high surprisal), the trainer may be signaled to continue to provide training data in this context. For example, if, in a set of data elements related to vehicle operation there is only a single data element related to traversing a railroad track, that data element may have a very high surprisal value and may therefore be flagged so that trainers may know to provide more training data related to railroad tracks.

When errors or anomalies are detected in a set of data elements, the “offending” data element(s) may be removed and or corrected. This can be especially important when the data element had low surprisal (which may be interpreted as a high confidence answer). As such, in some embodiments, when there are errors or anomalies detected with data elements that have low surprisal, those elements may be removed and/or more elements may be added related to the offending data element. An anomalous case with high surprisal may also be removed upon detection. When a data element with high surprisal produces an anomalous result, it is less extraordinary than when a data element with low surprisal produces an anomalous result. Nevertheless, taking corrective action when a data element with high surprisal produces an anomalous result may also benefit the model.

Because information gain measures the surprisal of one distribution to another, information gain can be used to assist in the process of feature selection. Feature selection is the process of determining which features, contexts, data values, etc. should be considered in order to arrive at an appropriate label or decision. Feature selection is an important problem in machine learning and data science because too many features or presence of irrelevant features can result in problems including slower training, increased memory usage, decrease accuracy, and decreased performance, but often it is hard to know which features are important. The information gain may be computed for each feature from the associated probability density function of the model without a feature relative to the model with the feature. By assessing the information gain of each feature, features with the least information gain can be removed with the least negative impact to the performance of the model because they have the least effect on the structure of the data set and the results returned. Conversely, features with the highest information gain can be evaluated to see if they are improving or diminishing accuracy by comparing the results of the model with and without those high entropy features.

In some embodiments, information gain can be used to tune parameters to a computer-based reasoning system. Parameters may include proximity, similarity, topology, feature weights, data transformations, function selection, etc. Given a base configuration of model parameters, other parameter choices or combinations of choices may be evaluated with regard to information gain relative to the base configuration (e.g., by calculating a PDMF using each candidate configuration). Those parameterizations with higher information gain will expose more complexity of the domain of the feature vector. This configuration with higher information gain may yield better performance, and it may indicate or reveal problems with the features or the selection of features.

In some embodiments, information gain can be used to compare two different training models to determine which model has more or less predictable complex behavior relative to the other one.

Information gain can be computed as a rate based on new training data that is being put into the computer-based reasoning model. As the model becomes more trained in the domain, the information gain of new training data is expected to drop, and each new piece of training data will yield less. However, an increased rate of information gain means that the model is learning new things; a significant or sustained high rate of information gain may be used to trigger a model optimization to remove data that may now be less informative.

In some embodiments, as described elsewhere herein, relative surprisal is calculated using

-   -   log₂ (P/Q), where P is the posterior probability of an event         occurring after it has occurred divided by the prior         probability, Q, of that same event occurring before it has         occurred.

In some embodiments, different measures that are correlated with, related to, or share similar characteristics of information entropy may be used. Although the accuracy, performance, precision, domains, and ranges may be applicable or invalid in different circumstances, other functions may include variance, Gini coefficient, mean absolute difference, median absolute deviation, variance-to-mean ratio, other dispersion methods, and other techniques for finding differences between probability density or probability mass functions.

In some embodiments, the surprisal is calculated from the probability density or mass functions (PDMFs) on the hypervolumes of the contexts represented by the multidimensional space of the set of data elements and performing analytical or numerical methods of Bayesian inferences using the PDMFs. Further, the embodiments may use appropriate PDMF estimation techniques on the data elements, such as multivariate normal, gaussian, Laplace, radial, quadratic, logistic, sigmoid, cosine, tricubic, quartic, parabolic, maximal entropy, other parametric or nonparametric distributions, or different kernel density estimation or approximation techniques for each data element or subset of data elements in the set of data elements before the data element or data elements are added (Q) and then again after they are added (P).

In some embodiments, the surprisal of a data element with respect to a set of data elements can be calculated based on the probability that each element will be within the kth nearest elements to a given point, where the probability of being among the kth nearest elements is calculated using a set of distance measures on a generalized spanning tree that represents the topology of the set of data elements based on their k nearest neighbors. The surprisal of a data element with respect to a set of data elements may be calculated using three probability density or mass functions. For example, consider the three PDMFs (in this case probability mass functions): P(i)=DistContrib(particular data elementi)/ΣDistContrib(each particular data element in the setof data elements) Q _(known)(i)=DistContrib(particular data elementi)/ΣDistContrib(each particular data element in the setof data elements & expected value of elements previously unknown), Q _(unknown)(i)=Average(DistContrib(each data element in the setof data elements))/ΣDistContrib(each particular data element &setof data elements), and if each data element is weighted identically, Q_(unknown) may be 1/N, where N is the number of data elements. Q_(known) refers to data elements that were known prior to their inclusion in P, and Q_(known) refers to the data elements that were unknown and assumed as expectation prior to their inclusion in P. The shorthand (or function) DistContrib(X) may be a measure, premetric, or other function of the nearest neighbors to X. An example calculation is: DistContrib(X)=ΣC _(i)Distance(nearest_neighbor_(i)), where C_(i) is a coefficient and nearest_neighbor_(i) is the i^(th) nearest neighbor of data element X, and i=1 . . . N for a DistContrib calculation of the N nearest neighbors.

The nearest neighbors and the distance calculation may be determined using any appropriate distance measurement or other premetric, including Euclidean distance, Minkowski distance, Damerau-Levenshtein distance, Kullback-Leibler divergence, 1-Kronecker delta, and/or any other distance measure, metric, pseudometric, premetric, index, and the like. The list of coefficients may be any appropriate list, such as a decreasing series including the harmonic series (1/i) and other series like (1/(i+1)), (N−i+1), (N²−i²+1), (1/i²), etc., a constant number (e.g., C_(i)=1), an increasing series (e.g., C_(i)=i), or a non-monotonic series (e.g., C_(i)=sin (i*pi/7)).

The techniques discussed herein, in some embodiments, can be used to compare two or more models or parts of two or more models. This comparison can be useful for summarizing differences between the models and for determining whether models are good candidates for combining and/or using evolutionary programming techniques. Further, the techniques herein are useful to case-based reasoning systems (one type of computer-based reasoning), but are also useful for data and model reduction for machine learning and artificial intelligence systems (also types of computer-based reasoning systems). For those system, training data can become excessive, and training and retraining the neural network can be time and computationally intensive. Reducing the size of the training sets can be beneficial for reducing training data (among other benefits) while minimizing the loss of information in the training.

Overview of Surprisal, Entropy, and Divergence

Below is a brief summary of some concepts discussed herein. It will be appreciated that there are numerous ways to compute the concepts below, and that other, similar mathematical concepts can be used with the techniques discussed herein.

Entropy (“H(x)”) is a measure of the average expected value of information from an event and is often calculated as the sum over observations of the probability of each observation multiple by the negative log of the probability of the observation. H(x)=−Σip(x _(i))*log p(x _(i))

Entropy is generally considered a measure of disorder. Therefore, higher values of entropy represent less regularly ordered information, with random noise having high entropy, and lower values of entropy represent more ordered information, with a long sequence of zeros having low entropy. If log₂ is used, then entropy may be seen as representing the theoretical lower bound on the number of bits needed to represent the information in a set of observations. Entropy can also be seen as how much a new observation distorts the combined PDMF of the observed space. Consider, for example, a universe of observations where there is a certain probability that each of A, B, or C occurs, and a probability that something other than A, B, or C occurs.

Surprisal (“I(x)”) is a measure of how much information is provided by a new event x_(i). I(x _(i))=−log p(x _(i))

Surprisal is generally a measure of surprise (or new information) generated by an event. The smaller the probability of X_(i), the higher the surprisal.

Kullback-Leibler Divergence (“KL divergence” or “Div_(KL)(x)”) is a measure of difference in information between two sets of observation. It is often represented as Div_(KL)(x)=Σi p(x _(i))*(log p(x _(i))−log q(x _(i))), where p(x _(i)) is the probability of x _(i) after x _(i) has occurred, and q(x _(i)) is the probability of x _(i) before x _(i) hasoccurred. Example Processes for Entropy-Based Techniques for Creation of Well-Balanced Computer Based Reasoning Systems

FIG. 1 depicts a process for using entropy-based techniques for creation of well-balanced computer-based reasoning system. As an overview, in the process 100 of FIG. 1, a request is received 110 to determine whether to include a particular data element (or one or more data elements) in the computer-based reasoning model. The receipt 110 of this request could be part of reduction (in size, memory used, etc.) of an existing computer-based reasoning model, adding training data to a model, and the like. After receiving the request on whether to include the data element or elements in the computer-based reasoning model, the process will determine 120 and 130 two PDMFs, one for the set of data elements associated with the computer-based reasoning model without the one or more particular data elements calculating expected values for future data elements, and one for the full set of data elements, including the one or more particular data elements. The surprisal is then determined 140 based on the two PDMFs, and a decision is made whether to include 150 the one or more particular data elements in the computer-based reasoning model based on the surprisal. The process 100 may optionally be repeated for multiple data elements or groups of data elements (indicated by the dashed line in FIG. 1). Once the data element(s) are included or excluded from the computer-based reasoning model, a real-world system may be controlled 160 with the computer-based reasoning model (such as an autonomous vehicle, an image labeling system, etc.).

Returning to the top of FIG. 1, the process receives 110 a request to determine whether to include particular data in a computer-based reasoning model. The received 110 request may be a request to reduce the size of a computer-based reasoning model. For example, a system or device (not depicted in FIG. 2), may request the reduction in model size for a computer-based reasoning model to the training and analysis system 210. In other embodiments, the training and analysis system 210 may initiate the model reduction request on its own (e.g., when a model reaches a certain threshold or at a fixed interval). In some embodiments, the request received 110 can be to reduce the model to a particular size, by a certain amount, or based on the informational value of the elements of the model (described more herein). As described herein, reducing the size of the computer-based reasoning model while maintaining most of the informational value of the model is beneficial. The model being culled could be any appropriate model, including computer-based reasoning models for self-driving vehicles, labelling images, decisions on claims (e.g., how to fund a claim based on the factors of the case), and the like.

In some embodiments, the request to determine whether to include the one or more particular data elements in a computer-based reasoning model is received 110 as part of training. For example, if the training is ongoing, the request received 110 may be a request to determine whether to add a newly-received data element to the computer-based reasoning model. As a particular vehicular example, if Alicia is training a self-driving car computer-based reasoning system, and data (context-action pairs) is being collected for that drive (perhaps in real time, perhaps after the fact, but before the data is added to the model), then process 100 may be used to determine whether each element of data for Alicia's training data should be added to the computer-based reasoning model. Determining whether to add the elements before they are added to the computer-based reasoning model will allow the model to maintain a smaller size (by not adding elements that do not provide sufficient informational value), while still adding those elements that do provide informational value. As discussed herein, having a smaller model with high informational content is beneficial.

A first PDMF is determined 120 for the set of data elements that excludes the one or more particular data elements, and a second PDMF is determined 130 for the set of data elements that includes the one or more particular data elements. In some embodiments, as discussed herein, the determination of whether to include data in a computer-based reasoning model is made as part of a model reduction. In such embodiments, a PDMF is determined 130 for the model as it currently stands (e.g., with the data element in question) and another is determined 120 for the computer-based reasoning model excluding the data element. For example, if a determination is being made whether one or more particular data elements (e.g., a context-action pair) should be included/remain in the computer-based reasoning model, then a PDMF for the computer-based reasoning model with the data element will be determined as well one without that data element using placeholder expected values for the data. These two PDMFs will be used to determine whether to keep the data element in the computer-based reasoning model. In some embodiments, the second PDMF may be calculated based on treating the model as an ‘empty model’ where the probability of every data element is the interpreted as the same or “even”, instead of using existing data element probability densities.

In some embodiments, the determination of whether to include one or more particular data elements in a computer-based reasoning model happens before data is added to the computer-based reasoning model. When the determination is being made whether to add a data element to a computer-based reasoning model, a PDMF is determined for the model as it stands (e.g., without the one or more particular data elements, using an expected value instead) and another is determined for the model with the data element added. These two PDMFs will be used to determine whether to add the data element to the computer-based reasoning model.

The calculation of a PDMF is discussed elsewhere herein in detail. In some embodiments, determining 120 and/or 130 a PDMF includes using a multivariate Laplace distribution, a multivariate Gaussian distribution, numerical methods of Bayesian inference, or other kernel methods.

In some embodiments, determining 120 and/or 130 a PDMF includes determining multiple nearest data elements from the set of data elements in the computer-based reasoning model for the one or more particular data elements, and the distance contribution for each. A combined distance measure is then determined for the one or more particular data elements based on the distance measures for the nearest-neighbor elements' distances (as described elsewhere, these can be equally weighted, harmonically weighted, etc.), and the PDMF can be determined based at least in part on the combined distance measure.

Surprisal is determined 140 based on the first and second PDMFs. For example, in some embodiments, the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements is the ratio of the first and second PDMFs. Determination of surprisal is discussed extensively herein. As noted, in some embodiments, the surprisal is a calculation of P/Q. Other embodiments include different calculations for surprisal. For example, surprisal could be calculated as log (P)/log (Q), (P*log (P))/(Q*log (Q)), PA2/QA2, X*P/Q (where X is a coefficient), Q/P, etc. The embodiments discussed primarily herein are those in which P (or a function thereof) is in the numerator and Q (or a function thereof) are in the denominator, but the techniques apply equally even if the positions of P and Q are swapped. In the embodiments where P is in the numerator of the equation and Q is in the denominator, higher surprisal can be associated with the one or more particular data elements providing more information to the model; and lower surprisal can be associated with the one or more particular data elements providing less information to the model. The opposite could be true when P is in the denominator and Q is in the numerator. The higher the information provided to the model from the data element, the “better” the model will be with the data element included. Therefore, the higher the surprisal, the more likely the data element will be added to the model.

Process 100 then proceeds by determining whether to include 150 the one or more particular data elements based on the determined 140 surprisal. As noted above and elsewhere, the higher the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements, the more information it provides to the model, and the more likely it should be included in the model. In some embodiments, determining whether to include 150 the one or more particular data elements in the model includes determining whether the surprisal is above a (lower limit) threshold. If the surprisal of a new data element meets the particular threshold, then it will be included in the model. This approach can be useful when the goal of using the techniques herein is to balance information in the model and model size (whether pruning an existing model or building a model as data elements are considered, e.g., during training). In some embodiments, the surprisal threshold is a numeric threshold (e.g., 0.1, 1, 2.1, 100, etc.). The surprisal is then compared to that threshold in order to make the determination of whether to include 150 the one or more particular data elements. In some embodiments, the surprisal threshold is a ratio of the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements and the average surprisal of the data elements of the computer-based reasoning model. For example, if the one or more data elements has a surprisal that is X % (e.g., 100%, 150%, 200%, etc.) of the average surprisal of the computer-based reasoning model, then it may be included in the computer-based reasoning model. It may be beneficial to not add cases to the model with low entropy when it would not provide sufficient additional information to the computer-based reasoning model. For example, a low pass filter may remove anomalies, and a high pass filter may remove redundancies. So, in some embodiments, the surprisal is compared both to high and low thresholds, and is only added if the surprisal is within the bounds (or not outside the bounds) of the two thresholds.

In some embodiments, the element with the top N surprisals are the only ones included in the computer-based reasoning model. Limiting the model to a certain number (N) of data elements may be a useful approach when a certain limit on the computer-based reasoning model size is desired for reasons such as memory availability, tolerable latency for the model to respond, and computational effort required. In examples and embodiments in which a reduction in computer-based reasoning model of a particular size is the goal (e.g., removing D data elements), then the data elements with the lowest N surprisal may be excluded from the model.

Consider the example of Alicia training a self-driving vehicle simulation. As the new data elements (e.g., context-action pairs related to the context of the vehicle and the actions being taken) are received, each may be assessed for surprisal with respect to the computer-based reasoning model being built. If the goal is to limit the addition of new data elements to only those with certain surprisal, then the surprisal may be compared to a threshold, and the data element may only be added to the computer-based reasoning model if the surprisal for the data element exceeds a (lower limit) threshold. If the goal is to limit the computer-based reasoning model size to a particular threshold, then all candidate data elements may be assessed, and only those with the highest surprisal are added to the computer-based reasoning model (e.g., the data elements with the top N surprisals, where N is the goal for the number of data elements in the computer-based reasoning model).

Going further into the example, surprising data elements (those with high surprisal) may be those that are least related to previous data elements in the computer-based reasoning model. For example, if Alicia has not previously driven over railroad tracks, then data elements (e.g., context-action pairs) related to actions taken in the context of driving over railroad tracks may be the most surprising. If Alicia has driven for many miles on straight stretches of highway during daylight, then additional data elements in that context may not generate high surprisal scores.

As another example, some embodiments are related to systems for labeling images. Human experts may label images in order to identify features of the images and/or the subject of the image. These labels, and the contexts in which they were made (the image being the primary source of the context), may be used as training data for a computer-based reasoning model. The techniques herein could be used to determine how much surprisal each new data element (e.g., a context-label pair) provides, and only include those data elements that have a surprisal above a certain (lower limit) threshold. Similarly, a computer-based reasoning model for image labeling could also be pruned, assessing each data element and including only the data elements with the top N surprisals and/or excluding the data elements with the bottom D surprisals.

As yet another example, some embodiments relate to making decisions on how to value claims. For example, numerous input data may be gathered related to a claim (data on the entity or person making the claim, how and when the underlying event occurred, etc.). As new data elements for claim valuation are received, each can have its surprisal determined relative to the existing computer-based reasoning model. Those new data elements with surprisals above a certain threshold would be added to the computer-based reasoning model. Those with surprisals below the threshold may be excluded from the computer-based reasoning model. Further, the computer-based reasoning model may be pruned by excluding the data elements with the lowest surprisal and/or only including those with the highest surprisal.

As alluded to in the examples above, in some embodiments, more than one embodiment or approach described herein may be used (not depicted in FIG. 1). For example, during the training of a computer-based reasoning system, only data elements with surprisals above a particular threshold may be added to the computer-based reasoning model. Once the training is over, it may be pruned (e.g., limiting the model to the top N most “surprising” data elements and/or removing the bottom D least surprising data elements). Further, in some embodiments, the criteria used for adding (or pruning) may change over time. For example, the threshold to add new data elements to a computer-based reasoning model may increase as the model grows, making it yet harder for a data element to be “surprising” enough to be added to the model. Additionally, or in the alternative, the threshold to add new data elements may decrease over time, allowing data elements to be added even if they are less surprising. Further, the threshold may stay the same and, due to the decreased relative informativeness of data elements in the same training domain, fewer data elements will be accepted into the model as the model becomes asymptotically representative of the training domain. In this way, the techniques recognize that, as a computer-based reasoning model grows, it becomes increasingly difficult for new data elements to be “surprising.”

As depicted in FIG. 1, the process 100 may optionally return to determine whether other data elements should be included in the computer-based reasoning model (e.g., indicated by the dashed line from 150 to 110). In the embodiments and examples in which a model is being built (e.g., during training), this includes new data elements being considered for inclusion. For example, as Alicia is driving, new data elements, such as context-action pairs can be assessed for inclusion in the computer-based reasoning model using the techniques herein. In the context of reducing model size once it has been built, the process 100 may be run for each element (or some subset of them) in the computer-based reasoning model. As noted elsewhere herein, the data elements of an existing computer-based reasoning model may be assessed until a threshold number (D) have been excluded from the computer-based reasoning model and/or a threshold number (N) have been selected for inclusion in the computer-based reasoning model.

In some embodiments, when the determined 140 surprisal is below a certain threshold, the techniques may include flagging that the surprisal is low (not depicted in FIG. 1). This can be useful, for example, during collection of training data. For example, if Alicia is driving in a context where much data has already been collected (e.g., daytime highway driving and straight sections of road), and the surprisal for the data elements in those contexts could be low. As such, Alicia could be given an indication (e.g., in the form of an audio cue from a computer-based reasoning training and analysis system 210 within the vehicle, or the like) that driving in the current context was not providing much additional information to the computer-based reasoning model. In response to the flagging, Alicia might exit the highway to start training the computer-based reasoning on side streets. Techniques and embodiments such as this not only help control the size of the computer-based reasoning model but also could be helpful in reducing the amount of time and effort needed to train the computer-based reasoning model by helping focus the training. Further, an indication that incoming data elements are not providing much additional information can also be an indication that the computer-based reasoning model is ripe for pruning and such an indication could be used to prompt the start of process 100.

In some embodiments, another way a model may be culled is by removing data elements associated with anomalous actions (not depicted in FIG. 1). An anomaly could be flagged during later operation (e.g., if an anomalous action occurs, it could be flagged by an operator of the system being controlled). In some embodiments, the context-action pair or data element associated with the anomalous action could be flagged for removal. The anomalous data element could be removed from the model. Removing anomalous data not only can benefit the use of the model because anomalous decision will no longer (or less likely) be made using the computer-based reasoning model, but also the computer-based reasoning model will be smaller, which has the benefits discussed herein.

When an anomaly is detected, more data “around” the data element associated with the anomaly might be needed. For example, if an anomaly is detected, the context in which the anomaly occurred might be ripe for additional data elements. This could be “flagged” for a trainer, who could then focus training on that context. These additional data elements could then be considered for addition to the computer-based reasoning model in the manner described herein.

When the model is ready for use it may be provided to a control system (e.g., control system 220 of FIG. 2) for control of a real-world system. One example of controlling a system is controlling an image labelling system which is discussed with respect to FIG. 4, and elsewhere herein.

Another example of controlling a real-world system is controlling a self-driving vehicle. Vehicle-related data elements and control are discussed with respect to FIG. 4 and elsewhere herein, and can include obtaining contextual data for a current context for the self-driving vehicle (e.g., what context is the vehicle in at the moment), determining an action based on the current context, and causing performance of the determined context for the self-driving vehicle.

Additional Example Process for Entropy-Based Techniques for Creation of Well-Balanced Computer Based Reasoning Systems

The techniques herein are often described in terms of including or excluding particular data elements, such as data context-action pairs, as part of, e.g., a case-based reasoning model. In some embodiments, in addition to or instead of including particular context action pairs, the techniques can be used to include or exclude other types of data elements, such as features of data elements a computer-based reasoning model and/or parameters of a computer-based reasoning model. For example, the techniques can be used to determine the surprisal of features in the data elements. As one example and turning to process 500 of FIG. 5, in the vehicular context, the data elements may include an input features, such as road width on which the vehicle is driving. The surprisal for the inclusion of road width can be determined 520, 530, 540. And the determination whether to select or include 550 the feature can then be made. After that, the vehicle could be controlled 560 using the updated computer-based reasoning model. Further, this can be done for features that are inputs (e.g., road width, vehicle weight, etc.), as well as outputs (e.g., whether to break, turn left, etc.). As another example, the techniques herein may include determining whether to include or exclude particular parameters of the computer-based reasoning model, such as proximity, similarity, topology, feature weights, data transformations, function selection, etc. used in the computer-based reasoning model.

Turning to the top of FIG. 5, a request may be received 510 as to whether to include or select one or more particular aspects in a computer-based reasoning model. As noted above, these aspects can be features of data elements (e.g., individual or sets of values or variables in the contexts, particular action data, etc.). The aspects can also be aspects of the computer-based reasoning model itself, such as proximity, similarity, topology, feature weights, data transformations, function selection, etc.

PDMFs are determined 520 and 530 for the model with and without the particular aspects of the computer-based reasoning model, and the surprisal of including the particular aspects can be determined 540 from the two PDMFs. Determining PDMFs are described elsewhere herein. In the vehicular example, a determination could be made for the computer-based reasoning model including in the list of features considered the width of the road (for the first PDMF) and without the width of the road (the second PDMF). If the surprisal determined is above a certain (lower limit) threshold (e.g., a numeric value or a percentage as compared to the average for the computer-based reasoning model), then the feature may be selected or included 550 in the computer-based reasoning model, or, e.g., the feature of road width may be considered in the data elements in the model. It may be beneficial to not add cases to the model with low entropy when it would not provide sufficient additional information to the computer-based reasoning model, and to avoid adding cases with very high surprisal to avoid adding anomalous cases. For example, a low pass filter may remove anomalies, and a high pass filter may remove redundancies. So, in some embodiments, the surprisal is compared both to high and low thresholds, and is only added if the surprisal is within the bounds (not out of bounds) of the two thresholds.

As another example, a request may be received 510 to determine which distance function (e.g., Euclidean distance, Minkowski distance, Damerau-Levenshtein distance, Kullback-Leibler divergence, etc.) and which distance function parameters to use for calculating distance among data elements. The surprisal can be determined 520, 530, 540 for each of the candidate premetrics/distance measures and the function with the highest surprisal may be chosen as the parameter to be selected or included 550 with the computer-based reasoning model.

Process 500 optionally may return from the determination whether to select or include 550 particular aspects into the computer-based reasoning in order to receive more requests 510, and make more determination 520-550 of what to include in the computer-based reasoning model. When there are no more aspects to consider selecting or including 550, the computer-based reasoning model may be sent to a control system and a system may be controlled 560 with that computer-based reasoning model. Various aspects of controlling the system are discussed throughout herein, including with respect to FIG. 4.

As used herein, the term “model elements” is a broad term encompassing it plain and ordinary meaning and includes data elements (defined elsewhere herein) and aspects of computer-based reasoning models (defined elsewhere herein). As such, any discussion herein of the techniques with respect to either the data elements or the aspects of computer-based reasoning models would also be applicable to model elements of the computer-based reasoning model.

Comparing Two Computer Based Reasoning Systems

In some embodiments, the techniques herein include comparing two computer-based reasoning models to see which of the two is more surprising and/or has more information. For example, the data elements (e.g., using process 100) or aspects (e.g., using process 500) of one computer-based reasoning model can be compared to another computer-based reasoning model. The model with the higher surprisal would be considered to have more information. This determination can be useful when the models differ (possibly even considerably), and a determination on which model provides more information will inform a choice of which model to use. Further, one computer-based reasoning model can be directly compared to one or more computer-based reasoning models by computing the surprisal of adding all of the training elements contained in the first computer-based reasoning model to each of the others. The surprisal of each pairing indicates which models are anomalous compared to the baseline. Individual training cases can be compared from one computer-based reasoning model to another, and the highest surprisal training cases show where the first model differs from the second.

Example Processes for Controlling Systems

FIG. 4 depicts an example process 400 for controlling a system. In some embodiments and at a high level, the process 400 proceeds by receiving or receiving 410 a computer-based reasoning model for controlling the system. The computer-based reasoning model may be one created using process 100, as one example. In some embodiments, the process 400 proceeds by receiving 420 a current context for the system, determining 430 an action to take based on the current context and the computer-based reasoning model, and causing 440 performance of the determined action (e.g., labelling an image, causing a vehicle to perform the turn, lane change, waypoint navigation, etc.). If operation of the system continues 450, then the process returns to receive 420 the current context, and otherwise discontinues 460 control of the system.

As discussed herein the various processes 100, 400, 500, etc. may run in parallel, in conjunction, together, or one process may be a subprocess of another. Further, any of the processes may run on the systems or hardware discussed herein. The features and steps of processes 100, 400, and 500 could be used in combination and/or in different orders.

Self-Driving Vehicles

Returning to the top of the process 400, it begins by receiving 410 a computer-based reasoning model for controlling the system. The computer-based reasoning model may be received in any appropriate matter. It may be provided via a network 290, placed in a shared or accessible memory on either the training and analysis system 210 or control system 220, or in accessible storage, such as storage 230 or 240.

In some embodiments (not depicted in FIG. 4), an operational situation could be indicated for the system. The operational situation is related to context, but may be considered a higher level, and may not change (or change less frequently) during operation of the system. For example, in the context of control of a vehicle, the operational situation may be indicated by a passenger or operator of the vehicle, by a configuration file, a setting, and/or the like. For example, a passenger Alicia may select “drive like Alicia” in order to have the vehicle driver like her. As another example, a fleet of helicopters may have a configuration file set to operate like Bob. In some embodiments, the operational situation may be detected. For example, the vehicle may detect that it is operating in a particular location (area, city, region, state, or country), time of day, weather condition, etc. and the vehicle may be indicated to drive in a manner appropriate for that operational situation.

The operational situation, whether detected, indicated by passenger, etc., may be changed during operation of the vehicle. For example, a passenger may first indicate that she would like the vehicle to drive cautiously (e.g., like Alicia), and then realize that she is running later and switch to a faster operation mode (e.g., like Carole). The operational situation may also change based on detection. For example, if a vehicle is operating under an operational situation for a particular portion of road, and detects that it has left that portion of road, it may automatically switch to an operational situation appropriate for its location (e.g., for that city), may revert to a default operation (e.g., a baseline program that operates the vehicle) or operational situation (e.g., the last used). In some embodiments, if the vehicle detects that it needs to change operational situations, it may prompt a passenger or operator to choose a new operational situation.

In some embodiments, the computer-based reasoning model is received before process 400 begins (not depicted in FIG. 4), and the process begins by receiving 420 the current context. For example, the computer-based reasoning model may already be loaded into a controller 220 and the process 400 begins by receiving 420 the current context for the system being controlled. In some embodiments, referring to FIG. 2, the current context for a system to be controlled (not depicted in FIG. 2) may be sent to control system 220 and control system 220 may receive 420 current context for the system.

Receiving 420 current context may include receiving the context data needed for a determination to be made using the computer-based reasoning model. For example, turning to the vehicular example, receiving 420 the current context may, in various embodiments, include receiving information from sensors on or near the vehicle, determining information based on location or other sensor information, accessing data about the vehicle or location, etc. For example, the vehicle may have numerous sensors related to the vehicle and its operation, such as one or more of each of the following: speed sensors, tire pressure monitors, fuel gauges, compasses, global positioning systems (GPS), RADARs, LiDARs, cameras, barometers, thermal sensors, accelerometers, strain gauges, noise/sound measurement systems, etc. Current context may also include information determined based on sensor data. For example, the time to impact with the closest object may be determined based on distance calculations from RADAR or LiDAR data, and/or may be determined based on depth-from-stereo information from cameras on the vehicle. Context may include characteristics of the sensors, such as the distance a RADAR or LiDAR is capable of detecting, resolution and focal length of the cameras, etc. Context may include information about the vehicle not from a sensor. For example, the weight of the vehicle, acceleration, deceleration, and turning or maneuverability information may be known for the vehicle and may be part of the context information. Additionally, context may include information about the location, including road condition, wind direction and strength, weather, visibility, traffic data, road layout, etc.

Referring back to the example of vehicle control rules for Bob flying a helicopter, the context data for a later flight of the helicopter using the vehicle control rules based on Bob's operation of the helicopter may include fuel remaining, distance that fuel can allow the helicopter to travel, location including elevation, wind speed and direction, visibility, location and type of sensors as well as the sensor data, time to impact with the N closest objects, maneuverability and speed control information, etc. Returning to the stop sign example, whether using vehicle control rules based on Alicia or Carole, the context may include LiDAR, RADAR, camera and other sensor data, location information, weight of the vehicle, road condition and weather information, braking information for the vehicle, etc.

The control system then determined 430 an action to take based on the current context and the computer-based reasoning model. For example, turning to the vehicular example, an action to take is determined 430 based on the current context and the vehicle control rules for the current operational situation. In some embodiments that use machine learning, the vehicle control rules may be in the form of a neural network (as described elsewhere herein), and the context may be fed into the neural network to determine an action to take. In embodiments using case-based reasoning, the set of context-action pairs closest to the current context may be determined. In some embodiments, only the closest context-action pair is determined, and the action associated with that context-action pair is the determined 430 action. In some embodiments, multiple context-action pairs are determined 430. For example, the N “closest” context-action pairs may be determined 430, and either as part of the determining 430, or later as part of the causing 440 performance of the action, choices may be made on the action to take based on the N closest context-action pairs, where “distance” for between the current context can be measured using any appropriate technique, including use of Euclidean distance, Minkowski distance, Damerau-Levenshtein distance, Kullback-Leibler divergence, and/or any other distance measure, metric, psuedometric, premetric, index, or the like.

In some embodiments, the actions to be taken may be blended based on the action of each context-action pair, with invalid (e.g., impossible or dangerous) outcomes being discarded. A choice can also be made among the N context-action pairs chosen based on criteria such as choosing to use the same or different operator context-action pair from the last determined action. For example, in an embodiment where there are context-action pair sets from multiple operators in the vehicle control rules, the choice of which context-action pair may be based on whether a context-action pair from the same operator was just chosen (e.g., to maintain consistency). The choice among the top N context-action pairs may also be made by choosing at random, mixing portions of the actions together, choosing based on a voting mechanism, etc.

Some embodiments include detecting gaps in the training data and/or vehicle control rules and indicating those during operation of the vehicle (for example, via prompt and/or spoken or graphical user interface) or offline (for example, in a report, on a graphical display, etc.) to indicate what additional training is needed (not depicted in FIG. 4). In some embodiments, when the computer-based reasoning system does not find context “close enough” to the current context to make a confident decision on an action to take, it may indicate this and suggest that an operator might take manual control of the vehicle, and that operation of the vehicle may provide additional context and action data for the computer-based reasoning system. Additionally, in some embodiments, an operator may indicate to a vehicle that she would like to take manual control to either override the computer-based reasoning system or replace the training data. These two scenarios may differ by whether the data (for example, context-action pairs) for the operational scenario are ignored for this time period, or whether they are replaced.

In some embodiments, the operational situation may be chosen based on a confidence measure indicating confidence in candidate actions to take from two (or more) different sets of control rules (not depicted in FIG. 4). Consider a first operational situation associated with a first set of vehicle control rules (e.g., with significant training from Alicia driving on highways) and a second operational situation associated with a second set of vehicle control rules (e.g., with significant training from Carole driving on rural roads). Candidate actions and associated confidences may be determined for each of the sets of vehicle control rules based on the context. The determined 430 action to take may then be selected as the action associated with the higher confidence level. For example, when the vehicle is driving on the highway, the actions from the vehicle control rules associated with Alicia may have a higher confidence, and therefore be chosen. When the vehicle is on rural roads, the actions from the vehicle control rules associated with Carole may have higher confidence and therefore be chosen. Relatedly, in some embodiments, a set of vehicle control rules may be hierarchical, and actions to take may be propagated from lower levels in the hierarchy to high levels, and the choice among actions to take propagated from the lower levels may be made on confidence associated with each of those chosen actions. The confidence can be based on any appropriate confidence calculation including, in some embodiments, determining how much “extra information” in the vehicle control rules is associated with that action in that context.

In some embodiments, there may be a background or baseline operational program that is used when the computer-based reasoning system does not have sufficient data to make a decision on what action to take (not depicted in FIG. 4). For example, if in a set of vehicle control rules, there is no matching context or there is not a matching context that is close enough to the current context, then the background program may be used. If none of the training data from Alicia included what to do when crossing railroad tracks, and railroad tracks are encountered in later operation of the vehicle, then the system may fall back on the baseline operational program to handle the traversal of the railroad tracks. In some embodiments, the baseline model is a computer-based reasoning system, in which case context-action pairs from the baseline model may be removed when new training data is added. In some embodiments, the baseline model is an executive driving engine which takes over control of the vehicle operation when there are no matching contexts in the vehicle control rules (e.g., in the case of a context-based reasoning system, there might be no context-action pairs that are sufficiently “close”).

In some embodiments, determining 430 an action to take based on the context can include determining whether vehicle maintenance is needed. As described elsewhere herein, the context may include wear and/or timing related to components of the vehicle, and a message related to maintenance may be determined based on the wear or timing. The message may indicate that maintenance may be needed or recommended (e.g., because preventative maintenance is often performed in the timing or wear context, because issues have been reported or detected with components in the timing or wear context, etc.). The message may be sent to or displayed for a vehicle operator (such as a fleet management service) and/or a passenger. For example, in the context of an automobile with sixty thousand miles, the message sent to a fleet maintenance system may include an indication that a timing belt may need to be replaced in order to avoid a P percent chance that the belt will break in the next five thousand miles (where the predictive information may be based on previously-collected context and action data, as described elsewhere herein). When the automobile reaches ninety thousand miles and assuming the belt has not been changed, the message may include that the chance that the belt will break has increased to, e.g., P*4 in the next five thousand miles.

Performance of the determined 430 action is then caused 440. Turning to the vehicular example, causing 440 performance of the action may include direct control of the vehicle and/or sending a message to a system, device, or interface that can control the vehicle. The action sent to control the vehicle may also be translated before it is used to control the vehicle. For example, the action determined 430 may be to navigate to a particular waypoint. In such an embodiment, causing 440 performance of the action may include sending the waypoint to a navigation system, and the navigation system may then, in turn, control the vehicle on a finer-grained level. In other embodiments, the determined 430 action may be to switch lanes, and that instruction may be sent to a control system that would enable the car to change the lane as directed. In yet other embodiments, the action determined 430 may be lower-level (e.g., accelerate or decelerate, turn 4° to the left, etc.), and causing 440 performance of the action may include sending the action to be performed to a control of the vehicle, or controlling the vehicle directly. In some embodiments, causing 440 performance of the action includes sending one or more messages for interpretation and/or display. In some embodiments, the causing 440 the action includes indicating the action to be taken at one or more levels of a control hierarchy for a vehicle. Examples of control hierarchies are given elsewhere herein.

Some embodiments include detecting anomalous actions taken or caused 440 to be taken. These anomalous actions may be signaled by an operator or passenger, or may be detected after operation of the vehicle (e.g., by reviewing log files, external reports, etc.). For example, a passenger of a vehicle may indicate that an undesirable maneuver was made by the vehicle (e.g., turning left from the right lane of a 2-lane road) or log files may be reviewed if the vehicle was in an accident. Once the anomaly is detected, the portion of the vehicle control rules (e.g., context-action pair(s)) related to the anomalous action can be determined. If it is determined that the context-action pair(s) are responsible for the anomalous action, then those context-action pairs can be removed or replaced using the techniques herein.

Referring to the example of the helicopter fleet and the vehicle control rules associated with Bob, the vehicle control 220 may determine 430 what action to take for the helicopter based on the received 420 context. The vehicle control 220 may then cause the helicopter to perform the determined action, for example, by sending instructions related to the action to the appropriate controls in the helicopter. In the driving example, the vehicle control 220 may determine 430 what action to take based on the context of vehicle. The vehicle control may then cause 440 performance of the determined 430 action by the automobile by sending instructions to control elements on the vehicle.

If there are more 450 contexts for which to determine actions for the operation of the system, then the process 400 returns to receive 420 more current contexts. Otherwise, process 400 ceases 460 control of the system. Turning to the vehicular example, as long as there is a continuation of operation of the vehicle using the vehicle control rules, the process 400 returns to receive 420 the subsequent current context for the vehicle. If the operational situation changes (e.g., the automobile is no longer on the stretch of road associated with the operational situation, a passenger indicates a new operational situation, etc.), then the process returns to determine the new operational situation. If the vehicle is no longer operating under vehicle control rules (e.g., it arrived at its destination, a passenger took over manual control, etc.), then the process 400 will discontinue 460 autonomous control of the vehicle.

Many of the examples discussed herein for vehicles discuss self-driving automobiles. As depicted in FIG. 2, numerous types of vehicles can be controlled. For example, a helicopter 251 or drone, a submarine 252, or boat or freight ship 253, or any other type of vehicle such as plane or drone (not depicted in FIG. 2), construction equipment, (not depicted in FIG. 2), and/or the like. In each case, the computer-based reasoning model may differ, including using different features, using different techniques described herein, etc. Further, the context of each type of vehicle may differ. Flying vehicles may need context data such as weight, lift, drag, fuel remaining, distance remaining given fuel, windspeed, visibility, etc. Floating vehicles, such as boats, freight vessels, submarines, and the like may have context data such as buoyancy, drag, propulsion capabilities, speed of currents, a measure of the choppiness of the water, fuel remaining, distance capability remaining given fuel, and the like. Manufacturing and other equipment may have as context width of area traversing, turn radius of the vehicle, speed capabilities, towing/lifting capabilities, and the like.

Image Labelling

The process 100 or 500 may also be applied in the context of an image-labeling system. For example, numerous experts may label images (e.g., identifying features of or elements within those images). For example, the human experts may identify cancerous masses on x-rays. Having these experts label all input images is incredibly time consuming to do on an ongoing basis, in addition to being expensive (paying the experts). The techniques herein may be used to train an image-labeling computer-based reasoning model based on previously-trained images. Once the image-labeling computer-based reasoning system has been built, then input images may be analyzed using the image-based reasoning system. In order to build the image-labeling computer-based reasoning system, images may be labeled by experts and used as training data. Using the techniques herein, the surprisal of the training data can be used to build an image-labeling computer-based reasoning system that balances the size of the computer-based reasoning model with the information that each additional image (or set of images) with associated labels provides. Once the image-labelling computer-based reasoning is trained, it can be used to label images in the future. For example, a new image may come in, the image-labelling computer-based reasoning may determine one or more labels for the image, and then the one or more labels may then be applied to the image. Thus, these images can be labeled automatically, saving the time and expense related to having experts label the images.

In some embodiments, process 100 or 500 may determine (e.g., based on a request 110, 510) the surprisal of each image (or multiple images) and the associated labels or of the aspects of the computer-based reasoning model. For each one or more images and their labels, a first and second PDMF may be determined 120, 130, 520, 530 (determining the PDMF is described elsewhere herein). The surprisal for the one or more images may be determined 140, 540 and a determination may be made whether to select or include 150, 550 the one or more images (or aspects) in the image-labeling computer-based reasoning model based on the determined surprisal. While there are more sets of one or more images with labels to assess, the process 100 or 500 may return to determine whether more image or label sets should be included or whether aspects should be included and/or changed in the model. Once there are no more images or aspects to consider, the process 100 or 500 can turn to controlling 160, 560 the image analysis system using the image-labeling computer-based reasoning.

Controlling 160, 560 an image-labeling system may be accomplished by process 400. For example, if the data elements are related to images and labels applied to those images, then the image-labeling computer-based reasoning model trained on that data will apply labels to incoming images. Process 400 proceeds by receiving 410 an image-labeling computer-based reasoning model. The process proceeds by receiving 420 an image for labeling. The image-labeling computer-based reasoning model is then used to determine 430 labels for the input image. The image is then labeled 440. If there are more 450 images to label, then the system returns to receive 420 those images and otherwise ceases 460. In such embodiments, the image-labeling computer-based reasoning model may be used to select labels based on which training image is “closest” to the incoming image. The label(s) associated with that image will then be selected to apply to the incoming image.

Manufacturing and Assembly

The process 100 or 500 may also be applied in the context of manufacturing and/or assembly. For example, entropy can be used to identify normal behavior versus anomalous behavior of such equipment. Using the techniques herein, a crane (e.g., crane 255 of FIG. 2), robot arm, or other actuator is attempting to “grab” something and its surprisal is too high, it can stop, sound an alarm, shutdown certain areas of the facility, and/or request for human assistance. Anomalous behavior that is detected via entropy among sensors and actuators can be used to detect when there is some sort breakdown, unusual wear and tear or mechanical or other malfunction, an unusual component or seed or crop, etc. It can also be used to find damaged equipment for repairs or buffing or other improvements for any robots that are searching and correcting defects in products or themselves (e.g., fixing a broken wire or smoothing out cuts made to the ends of a manufactured artifact made via an extrusion process). Entropy can also be used for cranes and other grabbing devices to find which cargo or items are closest matches to what is needed. Entropy can be used to drastically reduce the amount of time to train a robot to perform a new task for a new product or custom order, because the robot will indicate the aspects of the process it does not understand and direct training towards those areas and away from things it has already learned. Combining this with stopping ongoing actions when an anomalous situation is detected would also allow a robot to begin performing work before it is fully done training, the same way that a human apprentice may help out someone experienced while the apprentice is learning the job. Entropy can also inform what features or inputs to the robot are useful and which are not.

In some embodiments, process 100 (or 500) may determine (e.g., based on a request 110, 510) the surprisal of one or more data elements (e.g., of the manufacturing equipment) or aspects (e.g., features of context-action pairs or aspects of the model) to potentially include in the manufacturing control computer-based reasoning model. For each of the one or more manufacturing or assembly data elements or aspects (collectively called “manufacturing elements”), a first and second PDMF may be determined 120, 520, 130, 530 (determining the PDMF is described elsewhere herein). The surprisal for the one or more manufacturing elements may be determined 140, 540 and a determination may be made whether to select or include 150, 550 the one or more manufacturing data elements or aspects in the manufacturing control computer-based reasoning model based on the determined surprisal. While there are more sets of one or more manufacturing data elements or aspects to assess, the process 100, or 500 may return to determine whether more manufacturing data elements or aspects sets should be included. Once there are no more manufacturing data elements or aspects to consider, the process 100 or 500 can turn to controlling 160, 560 the manufacturing system using the manufacturing control computer-based reasoning system.

Controlling 160, 560 a manufacturing system may be accomplished by process 400. For example, if the data elements are related to manufacturing data elements or aspects, then the manufacturing control computer-based reasoning model trained on that data will control manufacturing or assemble. Process 400 proceeds by receiving 410 a manufacturing control computer-based reasoning model. The process proceeds by receiving 420 a context. The manufacturing control computer-based reasoning model is then used to determine 430 an action to take. The action is then performed by the control system (e.g., caused by the manufacturing control computer-based reasoning system). If there are more 450 contexts to consider, then the system returns to receive 420 those contexts and otherwise ceases 460. In such embodiments, the manufacturing control computer-based reasoning model may be used to control a manufacturing system. The chosen actions are then performed by a control system.

Smart Voice Control

The process 100 may also be applied in the context of smart voice control. For example, combining multiple inputs and forms of analysis, the techniques herein can recognize if there is something unusual about a voice control request. For example, if a request is to purchase a high-priced item or unlock a door, but the calendar and synchronized devices indicate that the family is out of town, it could send a request to the person's phone before confirming the order or action; it could be that an intruder has recorded someone's voice in the family or has used artificial intelligence software to create a message and has broken in. It can detect other anomalies for security or for devices activating at unusual times, possibly indicating some mechanical failure, electronics failure, or someone in the house using things abnormally (e.g., a child frequently leaving the refrigerator door open for long durations). Combined with other natural language processing techniques beyond sentiment analysis, such as vocal distress, a smart voice device can recognize that something is different and ask, improving the person's experience and improving the seamlessness of the device into the person's life, perhaps playing music, adjusting lighting, or HVAC, or other controls. The level of confidence provided by entropy can also be used to train a smart voice device more quickly as it can ask questions about aspects of its use that it has the least knowledge about. For example: “I noticed usually at night, but also some days, you turn the temperature down in what situations should I turn the temperature down? What other inputs (features) should I consider?”

Using the techniques herein, a smart voice device may also be able to learn things it otherwise may not be able to. For example, if the smart voice device is looking for common patterns in any of the aforementioned actions or purchases and the entropy drops below a certain threshold, it can ask the person if it should take on a particular action or additional autonomy without prompting, such as “It looks like you're normally changing the thermostat to colder on days when you have your exercise class, but not on days when it is cancelled; should I do this from now on and prepare the temperature to your liking?”

In some embodiments, process 100 or 500 may determine (e.g., based on a request 110) the surprisal of one or more data elements (e.g., of the smart voice system) or aspects (e.g., features of the data or parameters of the model) to potentially include in the smart voice system control computer-based reasoning model. For each of the one or more smart voice system data elements or aspects, a first and second PDMF may be determined 120, 520, 130, 530 (determining the PDMF is described elsewhere herein). The surprisal for the one or more smart voice system data elements or aspects may be determined 140, 540 and a determination may be made whether to include 150 the one or more smart voice system data elements or aspects in the smart voice system control computer-based reasoning model based on the determined surprisal. While there are more sets of one or more smart voice system data elements or aspects to assess, the process 100 or 500 may return to determine whether more smart voice system data elements or aspects sets should be included. Once there are no more smart voice system data elements or aspects to consider, the process 100 or 500 can turn to controlling 160, 560 the smart voice system using the smart voice system control computer-based reasoning model.

Controlling 160, 560 a smart voice system may be accomplished by process 400. For example, if the data elements are related to smart voice system actions, then the smart voice system control computer-based reasoning model trained on that data will control smart voice systems. Process 400 proceeds by receiving 410 a smart voice computer-based reasoning model. The process proceeds by receiving 420 a context. The smart voice computer-based reasoning model is then used to determine 430 an action to take. The action is then performed by the control system (e.g., caused by the smart voice computer-based reasoning system). If there are more 450 contexts to consider, then the system returns to receive 420 those contexts and otherwise ceases 460. In such embodiments, the smart voice computer-based reasoning model may be used to control a smart voice system. The chosen actions are then performed by a control system.

Control of Federarted Devices

The process 100 or 500 may also be applied in the context of federated devices in a system. For example, combining multiple inputs and forms of analysis, the techniques herein can recognize if there is something that should trigger action based on the state of the federated devices. For example, if the training data includes actions normally taken and/or statuses of federated devices, then an action to take could be an often-taken action in the certain (or related contexts). For example, in the context of a smart home with interconnected heating, cooling, appliances, lights, locks, etc., the training data could be what a particular user does at certain times of day and/or in particular sequences. For example, if, in a house, the lights in the kitchen are normally turned off after the stove has been off for over an hour and the dishwasher has been started, then when that context again occurs, but the kitchen light has not been turned off, the computer-based reasoning system may cause an action to be taken in the smart home federated systems, such as prompting (e.g., audio) whether the user of the system would like the kitchen lights to be turned off. As another example, training data may indicate that a user sets the house alarm and locks the door upon leaving the house (e.g., as detected via goefence). If the user leaves the geofenced location of the house and has not yet locked the door and/or set the alarm, the computer-based reasoning system may cause performance of an action such as inquiring whether it should lock the door and/or set an alarm. As yet another example, in the security context, the control may be for turning on/off cameras, or enact other security measures, such as sounding alarms, locking doors, or even releasing drones and the like. Training data may include previous logs and sensor data, door or window alarm data, time of day, security footage, etc. and when security measure were (or should have been) taken. For example, a context such as particular window alarm data for a particular basement window coupled with other data may be associated with an action of sounding an alarm, and when a context occurs related to that context, an alarm may be sounded.

In some embodiments, process 100 or 500 may determine (e.g., based on a request 110, 510) the surprisal of one or more data elements or aspects of the federated device control system for potential inclusion in the federated device control computer-based reasoning model. For each of the one or more federated device control system data elements or aspects, a first and second PDMF may be determined 120, 130, 520, 530 (determining the PDMF is described elsewhere herein). The surprisal for the one or more federated device control system data elements may be determined 140, 540 and a determination may be made whether to select or include 150, 550 the one or more federated device control system data elements in the federated device control computer-based reasoning model based on the determined surprisal. While there are more sets of one or more federated device control system data elements or aspects to assess, the process 100 or 500 may return to determine whether more federated device control system data elements or aspect sets should be included. Once there are no more federated device control system data elements or aspects to consider, the process 100 or 500 can turn to controlling 160, 560 the federated device control system using the federated device control computer-based reasoning model.

Controlling 160, 560 a federated device control system may be accomplished by process 400. For example, if the data elements are related to smart voice system actions, then the federated device control computer-based reasoning model trained on that data will control federated device control system. Process 400 proceeds by receiving 410 a federated device control computer-based reasoning model. The process proceeds by receiving 420 a context. The federated device control computer-based reasoning model is then used to determine 430 an action to take. The action is then performed by the control system (e.g., caused by the federated device control computer-based reasoning system). If there are more 450 contexts to consider, then the system returns to receive 420 those contexts and otherwise ceases 460. In such embodiments, the federated device control computer-based reasoning model may be used to control federated devices. The chosen actions are then performed by a control system.

Control and Automation of Experiments

The process 100 or 500 may also be used in the context of control systems for laboratory experiments. For example, many lab experiments today, especially in the biological and life sciences, but also in materials science and others, yield combinatorial increases, in terms of numbers, of possibilities and results. The fields of design of experiment, as well as many combinatorial search and exploration techniques are currently combined with statistical analysis. However, entropy-based techniques such as those herein can be used to guide a search for knowledge, especially if combined with utility functions. Automated lab experiments may have actuators and may put different chemicals, samples, or parts in different combinations and put them under different circumstances. Using entropy to guide the machines enables them to hone in on learning how the system under study responds to different scenarios, and, for example, searching areas of greatest uncertainty. Conceptually speaking, when the surprisal is combined with a value function, especially in a multiplicative fashion, then the combination is a powerful information theoretic take on the classic exploration vs exploitation trade-offs that are made in search processes from artificial intelligence to science to engineering. Additionally, such a system can be made to automate experiments where it can predict the most effective approach, homing in on the best possible, predictable outcomes for a specific knowledge base. Further, like in the other embodiments discussed herein, it could indicate (e.g., raise alarms) to human operators when the results are anomalous, or even tell which features being measured are most useful (so that they can be appropriately measured) or when measurements are not sufficient to characterize the outcomes. If the system has multiple kinds of sensors that have “costs” (e.g., monetary, time, computation, etc.) or cannot be all activated simultaneously, the feature entropies could be used to activate or deactivate the sensors to reduce costs or improve the distinguishability of the experimental results.

In some embodiments, process 100 or 500 may determine (e.g., based on a request 110) the surprisal of one or more data elements or aspects of the experiment control system. For each of the one or more experiment control system date elements (or aspects), a first and second PDMF may be determined 120, 130, 520, 530 (determining the PDMF is described elsewhere herein). The surprisal for the one or more experiment control system data elements or aspects may be determined 140, 540 and a determination may be made whether to select or include 150, 550 the one or more experiment control system data elements or aspects in experiment control computer-based reasoning model based on the determined surprisal. While there are more sets of one or more experiment control system data elements or aspects to assess, the process 100 or 500 may return to determine whether more experiment control system data elements or aspects sets should be included. Once there are no more experiment control system data elements or aspects to consider, the process 100 or 500 can turn to controlling 160, 560 the experiment control system using the experiment control computer-based reasoning model.

Controlling 160, 560 an experiment control system may be accomplished by process 400. For example, if the data elements are related to smart voice system actions, then the experiment control computer-based reasoning model trained on that data will control experiment control system. Process 400 proceeds by receiving 410 an experiment control computer-based reasoning model. The process proceeds by receiving 420 a context. The experiment control computer-based reasoning model is then used to determine 430 an action to take. The action is then performed by the control system (e.g., caused by the experiment control computer-based reasoning system). If there are more 450 contexts to consider, then the system returns to receive 420 those contexts and otherwise ceases 460. In such embodiments, the experiment control computer-based reasoning model may be used to control experiment. The chosen actions are then performed by a control system.

Control of Energy Transfer Systems

The process 100 or 500 may also be applied in the context of control systems for energy transfer. For example, a building may have numerous energy sources, including solar, wind, grid-based electrical, batteries, on-site generation (e.g., by diesel or gas), etc. and may have many operations it can perform, including manufacturing, computation, temperature control, etc. The techniques herein may be used to control when certain types of energy are used and when certain energy consuming processes are engaged. For example, on sunny days, roof-mounted solar cells may provide enough low-cost power that grid-based electrical power is discontinued during a particular time period while costly manufacturing processes are engaged. On windy, rainy days, the overhead of running solar panels may overshadow the energy provided, but power purchased from a wind-generation farm may be cheap, and only essential energy consuming manufacturing processes and maintenance processes are performed.

In some embodiments, process 100 or 500 may determine (e.g., based on a request 110, 510) the surprisal of one or more data elements or aspects of the energy transfer system. For each of the one or more energy transfer system data elements or aspects, a first and second PDMF may be determined 120, 130, 520, 530 (determining the PDMF is described elsewhere herein). The surprisal for the one or more energy transfer system data elements or aspects may be determined 140, 540 and a determination may be made whether to select or include 150, 550 the one or more energy transfer system data elements or aspects in energy control computer-based reasoning model based on the determined surprisal. While there are more sets of one or more energy transfer system data elements or aspects to assess, the process 100 or 500 may return to determine whether more energy transfer system data elements or aspects should be included. Once there are no more energy transfer system data elements or aspects to consider, the process 100 or 500 can turn to controlling 160, 560 the energy transfer system using the energy control computer-based reasoning model.

Controlling 160, 560 an energy transfer system may be accomplished by process 400. For example, if the data elements are related to smart voice system actions, then the energy control computer-based reasoning model trained on that data will control energy transfer system. Process 400 proceeds by receiving 410 an energy control computer-based reasoning model. The process proceeds by receiving 420 a context. The energy control computer-based reasoning model is then used to determine 430 an action to take. The action is then performed by the control system (e.g., caused by the energy control computer-based reasoning system). If there are more 450 contexts to consider, then the system returns to receive 420 those contexts and otherwise ceases 460. In such embodiments, the energy control computer-based reasoning model may be used to control energy. The chosen actions are then performed by a control system.

Example Control Hierarchies

In some embodiments, the technique herein may use a control hierarchy to control systems and/or cause actions to be taken (e.g., as part of controlling 160 in FIG. 1). There are numerous example control hierarchies and many types of systems to control, and hierarchy for vehicle control is presented below. In some embodiments, only a portion of this control hierarchy is used. It is also possible to add levels to (or remove levels from) the control hierarchy.

An example control hierarchy for controlling a vehicle could be:

-   -   Primitive Layer—Active vehicle abilities (accelerate,         decelerate), lateral, elevation, and orientation movements to         control basic vehicle navigation     -   Behavior Layer—Programmed vehicle behaviors which prioritize         received actions and directives and prioritize the behaviors in         the action.     -   Unit Layer—Receives orders from command layer, issues         moves/directives to the behavior layer.     -   Command Layers (hierarchical)—Receives orders and gives orders         to elements under its command, which may be another command         layer or unit layer.         Example Data Elements, Contexts, and Operational Situations

In some embodiments, the data elements may include context data and action data in context-action pairs. Further, data elements may relate to control of a vehicle. For example, context data may include data related to the operation of the vehicle, including the environment in which it is operating, and the actions taken may be of any granularity. Consider an example of data collected while a driver, Alicia, drives around a city. The collected data could be context and action data where the actions taken can include high-level actions (e.g., drive to next intersection, exit the highway, take surface roads, etc.), mid-level actions (e.g., turn left, turn right, change lanes) and/or low-level actions (e.g., accelerate, decelerate, etc.). The contexts can include any information related to the vehicle (e.g. time until impact with closest object(s), speed, course heading, breaking distances, vehicle weight, etc.), the driver (pupillary dilation, heart rate, attentiveness, hand position, foot position, etc.), the environment (speed limit and other local rules of the road, weather, visibility, road surface information, both transient such as moisture level as well as more permanent, such as pavement levelness, existence of potholes, etc.), traffic (congestion, time to a waypoint, time to destination, availability of alternate routes, etc.), and the like. These input data (e.g., context-action pairs for training a context-based reasoning system or input training contexts with outcome actions for training a machine learning system) can be saved and later used to help control a compatible vehicle in a compatible operational situation. The operational situation of the vehicle may include any relevant data related to the operation of the vehicle. In some embodiments, the operational situation may relate to operation of vehicles by particular individuals, in particular geographies, at particular times, and in particular conditions. For example, the operational situation may refer to a particular driver (e.g., Alicia or Carole). Alicia may be considered a cautious car driver, and Carole a faster driver. As noted above, and in particular, when approaching a stop sign, Carole may coast in and then brake at the last moment, while Alicia may slow down earlier and roll in. As another example of an operational situation, Bob may be considered the “best pilot” for a fleet of helicopters, and therefore his context and actions may be used for controlling self-flying helicopters.

In some embodiments, the operational situation may relate to the locale in which the vehicle is operating. The locale may be a geographic area of any size or type, and may be determined by systems that utilize machine learning. For example, an operational situation may be “highway driving” while another is “side street driving”. An operational situation may be related to an area, neighborhood, city, region, state, country, etc. For example, one operational situation may relate to driving in Raleigh, N.C. and another may be driving in Pittsburgh, Pa. An operational situation may relate to safe or legal driving speeds. For example, one operational situation may be related to roads with forty-five miles per hour speed limits, and another may relate to turns with a recommended speed of 20 miles per hour. The operational situation may also include aspects of the environment such as road congestion, weather or road conditions, time of day, etc. The operational situation may also include passenger information, such as whether to hurry (e.g., drive faster), whether to drive smoothly, technique for approaching stop signs, red lights, other objects, what relative velocity to take turns, etc. The operational situation may also include cargo information, such as weight, hazardousness, value, fragility of the cargo, temperature sensitivity, handling instructions, etc.

In some embodiments, the context and action may include vehicle maintenance information. The context may include information for timing and/or wear-related information for individual or sets of components. For example, the context may include information on the timing and distance since the last change of each fluid, each belt, each tire (and possibly when each was rotated), the electrical system, interior and exterior materials (such as exterior paint, interior cushions, passenger entertainment systems, etc.), communication systems, sensors (such as speed sensors, tire pressure monitors, fuel gauges, compasses, global positioning systems (GPS), RADARs, LiDARs, cameras, barometers, thermal sensors, accelerometers, strain gauges, noise/sound measurement systems, etc.), the engine(s), structural components of the vehicle (wings, blades, struts, shocks, frame, hull, etc.), and the like. The action taken may include inspection, preventative maintenance, and/or a failure of any of these components. As discussed elsewhere herein, having context and actions related to maintenance may allow the techniques to predict when issues will occur with future vehicles and/or suggest maintenance. For example, the context of an automobile may include the distance traveled since the timing belt was last replaced. The action associated with the context may include inspection, preventative replacement, and/or failure of the timing belt. Further, as described elsewhere herein, the contexts and actions may be collected for multiple operators and/or vehicles. As such, the timing of inspection, preventative maintenance and/or failure for multiple automobiles may be determined and later used for predictions and messaging.

Causing performance of an identified action can include sending a signal to a real car, to a simulator of a car, to a system or device in communication with either, etc. Further, the action to be caused can be simulated/predicted without showing graphics, etc. For example, the techniques might cause performance of actions in the manner that includes, determining what action would be take, and determining whether that result would be anomalous, and performing the techniques herein based on the determination that such state would be anomalous based on that determination, all without actually generating the graphics and other characteristics needed for displaying the results needed in a graphical simulator (e.g., a graphical simulator might be similar to a computer game).

Example Systems for Entropy-Based Techniques For Creation of Well-Balanced Computer Based Reasoning Systems

FIG. 2 depicts a block diagram of a system for evolving computer-based reasoning systems. System 200 includes a number of elements connected by a communicative coupling or network 290. Examples of communicative coupling and networks are described elsewhere herein. In some embodiments, the process 100 of FIG. 1 may run on the system 200 of FIG. 2 and/or the hardware 300 of FIG. 3. For example, the receiving 110 and determining 120-150 of FIG. 1 may be handled at training and analysis system 210. The resultant set(s) of data elements might be stored in communicatively coupled storage 230 or 240. The control system 220 may control 160 one or more physical systems.

Each of training and analysis system 210 and control system 220 may run on a single computing device, multiple computing devices, in a distributed manner across a network, on one or more virtual machines, which themselves run on one or more computing devices. In some embodiments, training and analysis system 210 and control system 220 are distinct sets of processes running on distinct sets of computing devices. In other embodiments, training and analysis system 210 and control system 220 are intertwined or share processes or functions and/or run on the same computing devices. In some embodiments, storage 230 and 240 are communicatively coupled to training and analysis system 210 and control system 220 via a network 290 or other connection. Storage 230 and 240 may also be part of or integrated with training and analysis system 210 and/or control system 220 via a network 290 or other connection.

As discussed herein the various aspects or embodiments of process 100 may run in parallel, in conjunction, together, or one process may be a subprocess of another. Further, any of the processes may run on the systems or hardware discussed herein.

Hardware Overview

According to some embodiments, the techniques described herein are implemented by one or more special-purpose computing devices. The special-purpose computing devices may be hard-wired to perform the techniques, or may include digital electronic devices such as one or more application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) or field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) that are persistently programmed to perform the techniques, or may include one or more general purpose hardware processors programmed to perform the techniques pursuant to program instructions in firmware, memory, other storage, or a combination. Such special-purpose computing devices may also combine custom hard-wired logic, ASICs, or FPGAs with custom programming to accomplish the techniques. The special-purpose computing devices may be desktop computer systems, portable computer systems, handheld devices, networking devices or any other device that incorporates hard-wired and/or program logic to implement the techniques.

For example, FIG. 3 is a block diagram that illustrates a computer system 300 upon which an embodiment of the invention may be implemented. Computer system 300 includes a bus 302 or other communication mechanism for communicating information, and a hardware processor 304 coupled with bus 302 for processing information. Hardware processor 304 may be, for example, a general purpose microprocessor.

Computer system 300 also includes a main memory 306, such as a random access memory (RAM) or other dynamic storage device, coupled to bus 302 for storing information and instructions to be executed by processor 304. Main memory 306 also may be used for storing temporary variables or other intermediate information during execution of instructions to be executed by processor 304. Such instructions, when stored in non-transitory storage media accessible to processor 304, render computer system 300 into a special-purpose machine that is customized to perform the operations specified in the instructions.

Computer system 300 further includes a read only memory (ROM) 308 or other static storage device coupled to bus 302 for storing static information and instructions for processor 304. A storage device 310, such as a magnetic disk, optical disk, or solid-state drive is provided and coupled to bus 302 for storing information and instructions.

Computer system 300 may be coupled via bus 302 to a display 312, such as an OLED, LED or cathode ray tube (CRT), for displaying information to a computer user. An input device 314, including alphanumeric and other keys, is coupled to bus 302 for communicating information and command selections to processor 304. Another type of user input device is cursor control 316, such as a mouse, a trackball, or cursor direction keys for communicating direction information and command selections to processor 304 and for controlling cursor movement on display 312. This input device typically has two degrees of freedom in two axes, a first axis (e.g., x) and a second axis (e.g., y), that allows the device to specify positions in a plane. The input device 314 may also have multiple input modalities, such as multiple 2-axes controllers, and/or input buttons or keyboard. This allows a user to input along more than two dimensions simultaneously and/or control the input of more than one type of action.

Computer system 300 may implement the techniques described herein using customized hard-wired logic, one or more ASICs or FPGAs, firmware and/or program logic which in combination with the computer system causes or programs computer system 300 to be a special-purpose machine. According to some embodiments, the techniques herein are performed by computer system 300 in response to processor 304 executing one or more sequences of one or more instructions contained in main memory 306. Such instructions may be read into main memory 306 from another storage medium, such as storage device 310. Execution of the sequences of instructions contained in main memory 306 causes processor 304 to perform the process steps described herein. In alternative embodiments, hard-wired circuitry may be used in place of or in combination with software instructions.

The term “storage media” as used herein refers to any non-transitory media that store data and/or instructions that cause a machine to operate in a specific fashion. Such storage media may comprise non-volatile media and/or volatile media. Non-volatile media includes, for example, optical disks, magnetic disks, or solid-state drives, such as storage device 310. Volatile media includes dynamic memory, such as main memory 306. Common forms of storage media include, for example, a floppy disk, a flexible disk, hard disk, solid-state drive, magnetic tape, or any other magnetic data storage medium, a CD-ROM, any other optical data storage medium, any physical medium with patterns of holes, a RAM, a PROM, and EPROM, a FLASH-EPROM, NVRAM, any other memory chip or cartridge.

Storage media is distinct from but may be used in conjunction with transmission media. Transmission media participates in transferring information between storage media. For example, transmission media includes coaxial cables, copper wire and fiber optics, including the wires that comprise bus 302. Transmission media can also take the form of acoustic or light waves, such as those generated during radio-wave and infra-red data communications.

Various forms of media may be involved in carrying one or more sequences of one or more instructions to processor 304 for execution. For example, the instructions may initially be carried on a magnetic disk or solid-state drive of a remote computer. The remote computer can load the instructions into its dynamic memory and send the instructions over a telephone line using a modem. A modem local to computer system 300 can receive the data on the telephone line and use an infra-red transmitter to convert the data to an infra-red signal. An infra-red detector can receive the data carried in the infra-red signal and appropriate circuitry can place the data on bus 302. Bus 302 carries the data to main memory 306, from which processor 304 retrieves and executes the instructions. The instructions received by main memory 306 may optionally be stored on storage device 310 either before or after execution by processor 304.

Computer system 300 also includes a communication interface 318 coupled to bus 302. Communication interface 318 provides a two-way data communication coupling to a network link 320 that is connected to a local network 322. For example, communication interface 318 may be an integrated services digital network (ISDN) card, cable modem, satellite modem, or a modem to provide a data communication connection to a corresponding type of telephone line. As another example, communication interface 318 may be a local area network (LAN) card to provide a data communication connection to a compatible LAN. Wireless links may also be implemented. In any such implementation, communication interface 318 sends and receives electrical, electromagnetic or optical signals that carry digital data streams representing various types of information. Such a wireless link could be a Bluetooth, Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), 802.11 WiFi connection, or the like.

Network link 320 typically provides data communication through one or more networks to other data devices. For example, network link 320 may provide a connection through local network 322 to a host computer 324 or to data equipment operated by an Internet Service Provider (ISP) 326. ISP 326 in turn provides data communication services through the world wide packet data communication network now commonly referred to as the “Internet” 328. Local network 322 and Internet 328 both use electrical, electromagnetic or optical signals that carry digital data streams. The signals through the various networks and the signals on network link 320 and through communication interface 318, which carry the digital data to and from computer system 300, are example forms of transmission media.

Computer system 300 can send messages and receive data, including program code, through the network(s), network link 320 and communication interface 318. In the Internet example, a server 330 might transmit a requested code for an application program through Internet 328, ISP 326, local network 322 and communication interface 318.

The received code may be executed by processor 304 as it is received, and/or stored in storage device 310, or other non-volatile storage for later execution.

In the foregoing specification, embodiments of the invention have been described with reference to numerous specific details that may vary from implementation to implementation. The specification and drawings are, accordingly, to be regarded in an illustrative rather than a restrictive sense. The sole and exclusive indicator of the scope of the invention, and what is intended by the applicants to be the scope of the invention, is the literal and equivalent scope of the set of claims that issue from this application, in the specific form in which such claims issue, including any subsequent correction. 

What is claimed is:
 1. A method comprising: receiving, at a training and analysis system, a request to determine whether to include one or more particular data elements in a computer-based reasoning model, wherein the training and analysis system executes on one or more computing devices, and is configured to execute training and analysis instructions; determining, at the training and analysis system, a first Probability Density or Mass Function (PDMF) for a set of data elements that does not include the one or more particular data elements, wherein the set of data elements is associated with the computer-based reasoning model; determining, at the training and analysis system, a second PDMF for the set of data elements combined with the one or more particular data elements; determining, at the training and analysis system, surprisal of the one or more particular data elements based on a ratio of the first PDMF and the second PDMF; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements is out of bounds of one or more predetermined thresholds, including the one or more particular data elements in the computer-based reasoning model; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements is not out of bounds of the one or more predetermined thresholds, excluding the one or more particular data elements from the computer-based reasoning model; causing, with a control system, control of a system with the computer-based reasoning model, wherein the method is performed on one or more computing devices.
 2. The method of claim 1, further comprising: wherein the one or more particular data elements includes at least one label on at least one training image; wherein causing control of the system comprises causing control of a system that identifies elements of an image using the computer-based reasoning model by: receiving an input image for labelling; determining one or more labels for the input image based on the image and the computer-based reasoning model; labelling the input image based on the one or more determined labels.
 3. The method of claim 1, further comprising: wherein causing control of the system comprises causing control of a vehicle using the computer-based reasoning model by: receiving a current context for the vehicle, wherein the vehicle can be controlled by the control system; determining an action to take for the vehicle based on the current context for the vehicle and the computer-based reasoning model; causing the vehicle to perform the determined action.
 4. The method of claim 1, wherein the one or more particular data elements is a context-action pair and the set of data elements is a set of context action pairs and the first and second PDMFs are measures of probability density for context-action pairs.
 5. The method of claim 1, further comprising: receiving a request for model reduction of the computer-based reasoning model; determining surprisal of each context-action pair in a full set of context-action pairs relative to the computer-based reasoning model without it, the full set of context-action pairs including the one or more particular data elements and the set of data elements; determining a subset of the full set of context-action pairs based at least in part on the surprisal of each context-action pair in the full set of context-action pairs, wherein the subset of the full set of context-action pairs contains only context-action pairs from the full set of context-action pairs for which surprisal is not out of bounds of the one or more predetermined thresholds; and responding to the request for reduction of the with the subset of the full set of context-action pairs.
 6. The method of claim 1, further comprising: initially receiving the one or more particular data elements as part of training for the computer-based reasoning model; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements is above a predetermined threshold, sending an indication to a trainer associated with the training for the computer-based reasoning model to continue to train related to the one or more particular data elements; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements is not above a predetermined threshold, sending the indication to the trainer associated with the training for the computer-based reasoning model that training is no longer needed related to the one or more particular data elements.
 7. The method of claim 1, further comprising: receiving a request for an action to take in a current context; determining the action to take based on comparing the current context to contexts associated with data elements in the set of data elements; and responding to the request for the action to take with the determined action.
 8. The method of claim 7, further comprising: receiving an indication that there was an error associated with the determined action; removing a data element associated with the determined action from the set of data elements.
 9. The method of claim 7, further comprising: receiving an indication that there was an error associated with the determined action; adding, to the set of data elements, one or more additional data elements with contexts associated with the current context, wherein the one or more additional data elements would cause a determination that the current context is associated with one of the one or more additional data elements, and would cause determination that the current context would be associated with a different action than an action associated with the error.
 10. The method of claim 1, further comprising determining the first PDMF using a parametric distribution.
 11. The method of claim 1, further comprising determining the first PDMF using a nonparametric distribution.
 12. The method of claim 1, further comprising: determining multiple nearest data elements from the set of data elements for the one or more particular data elements; determining multiple premetric contributions, one for each of the multiple nearest data elements; determining a premetric measurement of the one or more particular data elements based at least in part on the multiple premetric contributions; and determining new premetric measurements for at least one data element in the set of data elements, wherein each new premetric measurement for the at least one data element is computed based on premetric measurement to the one or more particular data elements; determining the second PDMF based at least in part on the premetric measurement for the one or more particular data elements and the new premetric measurements for the at least one data element in the set of data elements.
 13. The method of claim 12, wherein: the first PDMF is computed based on an average premetric contribution of each data element in the set of data elements divided by a sum of premetric contributions of each data element in the set of data elements; and further comprising: determining the second PDMF based on the premetric measurement of the one or more particular data elements divided by a sum of the new premetric measurements.
 14. A non-transitory computer readable medium storing instructions which, when executed by one or more computing devices, cause the one or more computing devices to perform the method of claim
 1. 15. A system for creating a computer-based reasoning model, comprising: a training and analysis system executing on one or more computing devices, and configured to execute training and analysis instructions, which, when executed, perform the steps of: receiving a request to determine whether to include one or more particular data elements in a computer-based reasoning model; determining a first Probability Density or Mass Function (PDMF) for a set of data elements that does not include the one or more particular data elements, wherein the set of data elements is associated with the computer-based reasoning model; determining a second PDMF for the set of data elements combined with the one or more particular data elements; determining surprisal of the one or more particular data elements based on a ratio of the first PDMF and the second PDMF; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements is out of bounds of one or more predetermined thresholds, including the one or more particular data elements in the computer-based reasoning model; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular data elements is not out of bounds of the one or more predetermined thresholds, excluding the one or more particular data elements from the computer-based reasoning model; sending the computer-based reasoning model to a control system; a control system executing on the one or more computing devices, configured to communicate with the training and analysis system and to execute control system instructions, which, when executed, perform the steps of: receiving the computer-based reasoning model from the training and analysis system; receiving a current context for a target system, wherein the target system can be controlled by the control system; determining an action to take for the target system based on the current context for the target system and the computer-based reasoning model; causing the target system to perform the determined action.
 16. The system of claim 15, the training and analysis system further configured to perform the steps of: determining multiple nearest data elements from the set of data elements for the one or more particular data elements; determining multiple premetric contributions, one for each of the multiple nearest data elements; determining a premetric measurement of the one or more particular data elements based at least in part on the multiple premetric contributions; and determining new premetric measurements for at least one data element in the set of data elements, wherein each new premetric measurement for the at least one data element is computed based on premetric measurement to the one or more particular data elements; determining the second PDMF based at least in part on the premetric measurement for the one or more particular data elements and the new premetric measurements for the at least one data element in the set of data elements.
 17. The system of claim 16, wherein: the first PDMF is computed based on an average premetric contribution of each data element in the set of data elements divided by a sum of premetric contributions of each data element in the set of data elements; and further comprising: determining the second PDMF based on the premetric measurement of the one or more particular data elements divided by a sum of the new premetric measurements.
 18. A system for creating a computer-based reasoning model for controlling vehicles, comprising: a vehicle training and analysis system executing on one or more computing devices, and configured to execute training and analysis instructions, which, when executed, perform the steps of: receiving a request to determine whether to include one or more particular vehicular data elements in a vehicular computer-based reasoning model; determining a first Probability Density or Mass Function (PDMF) for a set of vehicular data elements that does not include the one or more particular vehicular data elements, wherein the set of vehicular data elements is associated with the vehicular computer-based reasoning model; determining a second PDMF for the set of vehicular data elements combined with the one or more particular vehicular data elements, determining surprisal of the one or more particular vehicular data elements based on a ratio of the first PDMF and the second PDMF; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular vehicular data elements is out of bounds of one or more predetermined thresholds, including the one or more particular vehicular data elements in the computer-based reasoning model; in response to determining that the surprisal of the one or more particular vehicular data elements is not out of bounds of the one or more predetermined thresholds, excluding the one or more particular vehicular data elements from the vehicular computer-based reasoning model; sending the vehicular computer-based reasoning model to a control system; a control system executing on the one or more computing devices, configured to communicate with the vehicle training and analysis system and to execute control system instructions, which, when executed, perform the steps of: receiving the vehicular computer-based reasoning model from the vehicle training and analysis system; receiving a current context for a vehicle, control of which can be performed by the control system; determining an action to take for the vehicle based on the current context for the vehicle and the vehicular computer-based reasoning model; causing the vehicle to perform the determined action.
 19. The system of claim 18, the vehicle training and analysis system further configured to perform the steps of: determining multiple nearest vehicular data elements from the set of vehicular data elements for the one or more particular vehicular data elements; determining multiple premetric contributions, one for each of the multiple nearest vehicular data elements; determining a premetric measurement of the one or more particular vehicular data elements based at least in part on the multiple premetric contributions; and determining new premetric measurements for at least one vehicular data element in the set of vehicular data elements, wherein each new premetric measurement for the at least one vehicular data element is computed based on premetric measurement to the one or more particular vehicular data elements; determining the second PDMF based at least in part on the premetric measurement for the one or more particular vehicular data elements and the new premetric measurements for the at least one vehicular data element in the set of vehicular data elements.
 20. The system of claim 19, wherein: the first PDMF is computed based on an average premetric contribution of each vehicular data element in the set of vehicular data elements divided by a sum of premetric contributions of each vehicular data element in the set of vehicular data elements; and further comprising: determining the second PDMF based on the premetric measurement of the one or more particular vehicular data elements divided by a sum of the new premetric measurements. 